Monthly Archive: October 2008

Oct
29
2008

How The Press Manufactures Drama in the Polls

WSJ Graph of all Florida Polls

Today in the Wall Street Journal we have the headline “Gap Narrows in Florida and Ohio, Not Pennsylvania.” The article has a lot of graphs and looks pretty impressive. But taking a wider view shows that this is a red herring. I don’t know if the writer knows this or just didn’t bother to look …

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Oct
27
2008

McCain’s “Dangerous” Rhetoric Creates Real Danger

Senator McCain was forced to drop his attempts to associate Senator Obama to domestic terrorist Bill Ayers. In the end, McCain himself had to defend Obama as a “decent man.” The problem, of course, was that calling Obama a terrorist was inciting people to feel physical action, such as killing a prospective future President of …

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Oct
23
2008

C02 Lags Temperature and Human Causes of Global Warming

As I was researching some of the comments on a previous post, here are some interesting items that I found: 1. C02 has historically lagged temperature, a fact that is often cited by global warming skeptics. Temperature and CO2 are difficult to measure and compare. The time resolution is low, and while C02 is an …

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Oct
23
2008

Global Temperature Regains 20 Years of Lost Movement

Global Temperature with Incorrect Trend Line

While perusing the arguments on global warming, I happened across an article by Lorne Gunter that claims that “30 years of warmer temperatures go poof.” The article asserts that because recent global temperature anomalies went down to around the 0 mark, the temperature rise claimed by global warming researchers has been erased and all the …

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Oct
20
2008

The Foundational Case for Global Warming

Global Temperature

Despite what seems to be an ironclad case for global warming and the assumption that it is human caused , there is still considerable debate in the media. If we are going to create appropriate public policy to deal with climate change, then we have to keep from being diverted by the fallacious arguments. Unfortunately, …

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Oct
15
2008

Who Won the 3rd Presidential Debate? Poll Roundup

Its the last debate, so I’m keeping up the tradition of the quick poll round up. Here’s what I’ve got so that you can check the latest yourself (or vote). See the links. I’ll be updating periodically. Obama McCain Neither Votes CNN Quick Poll 72% 22% 6% 422350 WSJ Quick Poll 39.4% 60.5% 2.8% 677286 …

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Oct
08
2008

Does Negative Campaigning Work? Findings from Recent Research

Personal attacks have become increasingly sharp in the U. S. presidential election. The McCain campaign has even reportedly decided to make character attacks on Senator Obama a primary strategy. Just recently, Telegraph reported, A former McCain strategist familiar with the senator’s tactical discussions told The Sunday Telegraph that he would pursue the “nuclear option” targeting …

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Oct
07
2008

Who Won 2nd Presidential Debate? Poll Roundup

I can’t wait for the official polls, so I like to troll the sites watching the quick polls. Here’s what I’ve got so that you can check the latest yourself (or vote). See the links. I’ll be updating periodically. Obama McCain Neither Votes CNN Quick Poll 73% 20% 8% 382360 WSJ Quick Poll* 61% 38% …

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Oct
04
2008

Fact Check Comparison: Obama vs McCain

Political spin is now a sophisticated art form, one that is really unhelpful to voters. The intentional half truths, radical distortions, and even outright lies that candidates use in attacks on each other significantly burden the work of becoming an informed voter. Fortunately, over the last 10 years or so, many news organizations have kept …

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Oct
03
2008

Cool Interactive Obama-McCain Polling View

WSJ Interactive Polls

Link to cool interactive chart of 2008 U.S. presidential race polls.

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