public policy, policy research, public policy analysis, social issues, political change, American government

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Oct
07
2008

Who Won 2nd Presidential Debate? Poll Roundup

I can’t wait for the official polls, so I like to troll the sites watching the quick polls. Here’s what I’ve got so that you can check the latest yourself (or vote). See the links. I’ll be updating periodically.

Obama McCain Neither Votes
CNN Quick Poll 73% 20% 8% 382360
WSJ Quick Poll* 61% 38% 0% 74440
MSNBC 83% 13% 4% 239643

*UPDATE 10/8/08: The actual WSJ poll has been removed from the page it was on. For a while just after the debate the poll was radically for McCain but then switched to favor Obama. Comments to the poll suggest there might have been tampering, and that would make sense as in the last two debates (prez and VP) the poll seemed to track CNN’s poll.

A CNN poll of 675 debate watchers found, “64 percent had a favorable opinion of Obama after the debate, an increase of four points from his pre-debate showing.”

NOTE: I know a lot of you believe the polls from various organizations are biased or even mischievously manipulated. I’m not endorsing any one poll, but I do believe that about the best guess you can get of how the viewers judged the debates is from large numbers of responses, hopefully accurately collected from a random sample. So I’m compiling here the polls from any site, conservative or liberal, that I find. Pundits, focus groups, person-on-the-street interviews, straw polls of debate watching groups are all basically meaningless as far as how the debate was really received.

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